Cotto vs Trout, Prediction, Odds and The Bottom Line

Written by Sam Gregory at Dec 01, 2012 - 04:33PM ET in News
Cotto vs Trout, which will take place in just a few hours, will heavily impact the landscape of the jr middleweight division and may have career-altering ramifications. 
TONIGHT, live from legendary Madison Square Garden in New York, undefeated reigning WBA 'Regular' light middleweight champion of the world Austin Trout 25-0 with 14 KO's will make his fourth defense of his title against four time and three division world champion Miguel Cotto 37-3 with 30 KO's.

Cotto vs Trout Time:
This scheduled 12 round bout in the light middleweight division will be televised live in the U.S. on Showtime Championship Boxing 9PM ET/PT.

A win in this fight is crucial for both men.

Austin Trout fears even if he gives an impressive performance but loses this fight on the judge's scorecards to Miguel Cotto, he won't be given another opportunity for a big fight due to slick style, speed and southpaw stance. A win against Cotto tonight, however, will open the door to Trout being on the fast track to big money fights in the future.

Like Trout, Miguel Cotto simply needs to win this fight. He has been in some ring wars with top marquee fighters in his pro career of over 12 years. A loss for the 32 year old ring tested veteran at this point in his career would suggest to his critics all the ring wars and age have caught up to Miguel.

But Cotto isn't worried about what the critics say: "I've just put myself through a hard training camp just to be the winner. And it's as it was my whole career. I'm here to face Austin Trout Saturday. I'm here to win and I'm not going to rest until I get it."

Austin Trout Highlights

Cotto vs Trout: Breaking it Down
Tonight Miguel Cotto will attempt to capture his fifth world title against undefeated Austin Trout. This will be Miguel Cotto's eighth fight at Madison Square Garden and he's never lost a fight there.

Cotto vs Trout: Tale of the Tape


In his most recent outing, Cotto lost his third pro fight while defending the WBA "Super World" light middleweight title against Floyd Mayweather Jr. at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas.

Even though Cotto was dethroned against Mayweather in May, he gave the pound-for- pound champ his toughest fight to date. Miguel was able to break through Mayweather's otherwise impenetrable "shoulder roll" defense. However, despite Cotto's steadfast efforts, Mayweather's lightening speed, dazzling footwork and blistering counter punching carried the day - and ultimately the fight. 

If Austin Trout has any hope of defeating Cotto he'll need to put on the performance of a lifetime and at a showcase the likes of which he's never seen. Cotto vs Trout, which will be broadcast on Showtime PPV, will be witnessed live by millions. Moreover, Madison Square Garden will be filled with 20,000 rabid Miguel Cotto fans.

Austin Trout will also have to deal with the fact that when Cotto's back is against the wall he's able to run on sheer guts and determination. Miguel Cotto is a battle-tested, elite fighter who wants to be world champion again. What better place to accomplish that goal than Madison Square Garden in an arena full of his fans cheering him on?

Cotto vs Trout Poster


Cotto vs Trout Odds
The betting odds heavily favor Miguel Cotto. He has the experience, deeper resume and home field advantage and is a -240 favorite as a result. And while a Cotto loss would make Cotto vs Trout a candidate for Upset of the Year, a  Trout upset wouldn't exactly 'shock the world' in betting terms. 

So Saturday night when Austin Trout steps in the ring, not only will he know he's the clear underdog, he'll be fighting a popular, future Hall of Famer and the Puerto Rican's 20,000 fans on hand.  

Will Austin Trout  feel like he's taking on the whole world?

To his credit,  Austin Trout is no stranger to fighting on the road as he's spent most of his career fighting in someone else's hometown. When he won the vacant WBA World light middleweight title fight against Rigoberto Alvarez in Guadalajara in early 2011, Trout was the underdog yet carried an impressive 11 out of 12 rounds on all three of the judge's scorecards. And just four months after winning the title, Trout made his first title defense back in Mexico. This time Trout was the favorite and he won fairly easily.

Cotto vs Trout Prediction: The Bottom Line
Many say Trout isn't ready to step in the ring with the likes of Miguel Cotto and I agree with them. Austin Trout is stepping into the lion's den to fight an uphill battle. The deck is clearly stacked against him and I don't think he can pull it out.

Look for Miguel Cotto to win this fight by middle to late round stoppage.

Mayweather vs Cotto Highlights - 2012

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