In just a short time, future Hall of Famer Miguel Cotto will face titleholder Austin Trout for something called the WBA 'Regular' light middleweight title.
Cotto vs Trout Time:
The full, televised fight card starts at 9PM EST (2AM UK time) and the the main event, Cotto vs Trout, will likely start between 10PM EST and 10:30 PM EST (3AM - 3:30 UK time).
Cotto vs Trout Broadcast:
Showtime: (US), PPV (Puerto Rico), BoxNation (UK), Main Event PPV (Australia) Live streams: LiveSport.TV (BoxNation subscribers)
What's at Stake
Cotto vs Trout will be contested for the lightly-regarded WBA 'Regular' Title which is inferior to Floyd Mayweather's WBA 'Super' Title. With all due respect to both of these worthy combatants, this title is fringe at best. The WBA, one organization alone, literally has "two" world champions in the light middleweight division and in a few more weight classes.
Try to figure that one out.
Those entrenched in the sport know Floyd Mayweather reigns supreme in this division and the acknowledged champions are Mayweather, Saul Alvarez and Cornelius Bundrage.
However, don't be fooled by the illegitimate belt that's at stake. Cotto vs Trout has the makings of a super-sized sizzler. It will undoubtedly alter the lanscape at 154 lbs and answer some potent questions.
Is Austin Trout, a relatively obscure fighter prior to late 2011, the 'real deal?' Is he, in fact, the elite fighter many claim he is?
Secondly, can a battle-tested Miguel Cotto defeat a young, hungry, speedy, super-slick southpaw who's seemingly in his prime or approaching it?
Have the years of ring wars finally taken their toll on a future hall of famer who, in the eyes of many, is an "old," and perhaps even "ancient" 32?
Some, even boxing experts, are siding with the underdog, Austin Trout, tonight. He's quicker, fights in a slick style, will enjoy a height and reach advantage over his Puerto Rican foe and seemingly has far less wear and tear on his body. So although Miquel Cotto is the prohibitive favorite, people are giving Trout a legitimate chance, and rightfully so. He is a polished fighter with excellent tools.
So who is Austin Trout?
In 2004, Austin was the U.S. National Amateur Welterweight Champion and a runner-up to make the 2004 U.S. Olympic Boxing Team. As an amateur, Trout orchestrated a stellar record of 163-42-1.
As a pro, Trout had won his 21 bout with 13 coming via the knockout route when he faced a fella named Rigoberto Alvarez (then 27-2) for the fringe WBA 'Regular' Light Middleweight Title. Trout cruised to a lopsided win to claim the vacant belt.
Trout's first defense of his newly awarded title was against mandatory challenger David Alonso López (then 40-12, 23 KOs) on June 11 of the same year. A 3 to 1 betting underdog, Lopez was was floored by Trout in the 11th Round but survived to drop a wide and unanimous decision to the up-and-coming American from New Mexico.
Following the win over Lopez, Trout stopped a woefully overmatched Frank LaPorto (then 15-4-2) in six on November 11th before taking on his first opponent with name recognition, Delvin Rodriguez. Trout vs Rodriguez took place this past June on the undercard of Antonio Tarver vs. Lateef Kayode.
Although Rodriguez, a 3.85/1 betting underdog, entered with a record of 2-3-1 in his previous six bouts, he'd partaken in RING's 2011 Fight of the Year, drawing with top 10 contender Pawel Wolak last summer. Moreover, he souldly defeated Wolak in their rematch six months later thus paving the way for his title opportunity against Asutin Trout. But to the surprise of some, the bout was hardly a contest. Trout outboxed, outsped and outfoxed Rodriguez, earning a comfortable points win.
To say Delvin Rodriguez, David Lopez and Frank LaPorto aren't Miguel Cotto would be a huge understatement. Tonight, the crafty Trout will put his skills and speed to the test when he faces a fighter on an altogether different level - Miguel Cotto.
Cotto vs Trout Tale of the Tape
The 32 year old Cotto is a veteran of the game and a four-time world champion in three weight divisions (light welterweight, welterweight and light middleweight).
A future Hall of Famer, Cotto has been Puerto Rico's brightest star and biggest draw in the ring for several years and has beaten some of the sport's biggest names including Joshua Clottey (W12), Antonio Margarito (TKO 10 in rematch), Shane Mosley (W12), Zab Judah (TKO11), Carlos Quintana (TKO5), Paulie Malignaggi (W12), Ricardo Torres (KO7), DeMarcus Corley (TKO5), Randall Bailey (TKO6), Carlos Maussa (TKO8) and Cesar Bazan (TKO11).
He also has wins over the previously undefeated contender Kelson Pinto (TKO6), as well as veteran contenders Muhammad Abdulaev (TKO9), Victoriano Sosa (TKO4) and Lovemore Ndou (W12).
Simply put, Miguel Cotto has seen it all. He's been there and done that. Can the same be said for Trout?
When he last fought on May 5th, Miguel Cotto faced top pound-for-pound fighter Floyd Mayweather Jr. After losing the first two rounds, Cotto closed the distance and began to accurately time Mayweather, swarming the fighter dubbed "Money" and landing solid flurries to steal himself several rounds.
The middle rounds were closely contested with Cotto giving Mayweather obvious problems with his jab , accuracy and defense. Cotto also took Floyd Mayweather to places he hasn't ventured to in quite sometime, forcing the challenger to dig deep.
Seeing Floyd Mayweather with a bloodied nose being pelted hard along the ropes is something the boxing world had not witnessed before. Sure, Jose Luis Castillo gave "Money May" a literal run for his money in their first bout but Cotto, for at least a little while, was able to "batter" and "rough-up" the seemingly untouchable Mayweather.
But the great ones find a way to win and the technically-brilliant Mayweather was able to adjust to Cotto's new rhythm of attacking in flurries and counter-punch fairly effectively and aggressively, landing crisp eye-catching bows.
Floyd's efforts in Rounds 9-12 were enough to convince the judges to award him a unanimous decision. The scores were 118-110, 117-111 and 117-111 but the bout was conceivably closer. FightSaga scored it 116-112 for Mayweather.
Cotto vs Trout: The Key to Victory is Timing
As Cotto showed against Mayweather and Garcia against Khan, excellent timing can nullify superior speed. Advocates for Trout assert his southpaw style, speed, boxing ability and size advantage will be too much for a presumably shopwarn Miguel Cotto to overcome.
Cotto's critics continue to assert Cotto is damaged goods and Miguel continues to prove them wrong, fight after fight. Did Cotto look like damaged goods in May against the sport's best fighter?
The real question is: Can Austin Trout overcome Cotto's experience and craft? The Puerto Rican has faced much, much better opposition than Trout and is a 'master of timing and accuracy.' Moreover, he has more 'pop' than Trout.
In order to win, Trout must incorporate some unexpected wrinkles, be unpredictable and not allow Cotto to find his rhythm or out-time him. Also, it wouldn't hurt if Trout established himself by landing hard leather early on to get Cotto's respect and make the Puerto Rican think twice before launching his attacks.
If Trout can get Cotto in a defensive posture early, Austin has a great chance of winning. But if Trout attempts to rely on his size, speed and finesse alone, he'll find himself knocked out or on the losing end of a one-sided decision. After all, the top pound for pound fighter in the world enjoyed speed and size advantages over Cotto too but was forced into a very competitive dogfight.
Will Simply Outpointing Cotto be Enough to Secure Trout a Victory?
According to CompuBox PunchStats, Shane Mosely and Miguel Cotto landed an equal number of overall punches (248) in their 2007 bout while "Sugar" edged the Puerto Rican his powershots, 177-153. Despite that, Cotto got the nod.
Also, Joshua Clottey, who was floored in Round 1 against Miguel Cotto, would rebound to out-land the Puerto Rican 222-179 according to CompuBox PunchStats. Cotto won a split decision.
If the bout is anywhere near close, Miguel Cotto will probably get the benefit of the doubt, even if he lands fewer punches.
Prediction: The deep gap in level of opposition and experience in superfights will be too great for Trout to overcome. Look for him to hold his own but come up short against his aggressive, more experienced, more accomplished opponent.
Miguel Cotto is more than a complete fighter - He's a complete 'great fighter' and will have answers for everything Trout does. Look for Trout to impress and perhaps force Cotto in the trenches but in the end, Cotto's experience against top-tier opposition will rise to the fore.
Cotto wins via a competitive but non-controversial decision.
Cotto vs Trout Facts
- Trout started boxing at 10 years old
- Cotto is undefeated in NYC, having won all of his bouts there since 2004.
- Austin Trout stopped Rigoberto Alvarez, brother of Saul "Canelo," for the WBA 154-pound title.
- Cottos' strengths: Nasty left hook to the body, technically well-schooled , accurate combination puncher, ability to wear down opponents, can box and slug, durability, strong amateur pedigree and conditioning
- Trouts strengths: Speed, cat-like reflexes, awesome footwork, size and reach, southpaw stance and a fresh body (has taken very little punishment)
- Rounds Boxed: Trout: 138; Cotto: 281
- Cotto outgunned? According to CompuBox PunchStats, Shane Mosely and Miguel Cotto landed an equal number of overall punches (248) in their 2007 bout while "Sugar" edged the Puerto Rican his powershots, 177-153
- DeMarcus Corley had Cotto staggering and reeling in Round 3 of their 2005 bout; Cotto would win via a 5th Round stoppage
- Cotto is 3-1, 3 KOs since losing to Manny Pacquiao in 2009
- Cotto in Title Bouts: 17-3 (14 KOs)
- Miguel Cotto has fought 14 world champions (12-3 record); Austin Trout is 0-0 against full-fledged world champions
- Trout is a +240 underdog
- KO Percentage: Trout 56%, Cotto 75%
- A Cotto victory may secure a future bout with Sergio Martinez, Saul Alvarez or perhaps a rematch with Floyd Mayweather
COTTO VS TROUT RESULTS:
Round 1: Close, 10-9 Cotto
Round 2: Trout 10-9
Round 3: Cotto 10-9 .... Good fight
Round 4: Cotto 10-9... Good inside body work by Cotto
- Cotto up 39-37-
Round 5: Cotto 10-9, Cotto landing his left hook well
Round 6: Cotto 10-9; Good infighting by both, Cotto edging
- Cotto up 59-55-
Round 7: Trout 10-9
Round 8: Trout 10-9l Cotto keeps eating the right hook
Round 9: Trout 10-9; Austin is busier and more active
Round 10: Cotto 10-9; Tight round
Round 11: Trout 10-9
Round 12: Trout 10-9
AUSTIN TROUT WINS BY DECISION
Jacobs vs Fitzpatrick (Middleweights)
As of 9:25pm EST, this bout is underway
Round 1: Jacobs 10-9
Round 2: Fitzpatrick 10-9
Round 3: Jacobs 10-9
Round 4: Fitzpatrick 10-9
Round 5: Jacobs pummels Fitzpatrick; The latter makes it out of the round but quits on his stool
JACOBS TKO 6 FITZPATRICK
Velez vs Sanchez II (Featherweights)
Round 1: Velez 10-9
Round 2: Velez dominates; 10-8
Round 3: Fight over
VELEZ TKO 3 SANCHEZ II