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Canelo vs Triple G odds, preview: Betting, KOs and PPV fights

Joseph Herron Updated
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When pondering specific match-ups in boxing, either between two active fighters or ones of a mythical nature, very few pairings truly give fans what many insiders call "the butterfly" effect.   

This occurs when any die-hard aficionado of the sport starts to get that indescribable feeling of nervous energy in his or her gut, while imagining both men standing across the ring in opposite corners waiting for the first bell to ring.

For the first time since Manny and Floyd elected to "get it on" in May of 2015, fight fans across the globe will once again experience that incomparable feeling of "butterflies" in their stomachs when current Middleweight kingpin Gennady “GGG” Golovkin finally squares-off against lineal champ and Mexican favorite Saul "Canelo" Alvarez this Saturday night at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

This highly anticipated contest for all the marbles at 160 pounds was once viewed as a one-sided affair in favor of the fighter most affectionately known as Triple G.  But after his most recent effort in ostensibly eking out a points victory against Brooklynite Danny Jacobs earlier this year, the popular Kazakh puncher only possesses a razor thin betting edge now, according to most Race and Sports Books.

At the time of publication, Gennady Golovkin is currently listed as a less than 2 to 1 betting favorite (-160), with Saul "Canelo" Alvarez sitting as a very live underdog at (+135) or virtually even money.

In fact, money from interested gamblers has been placed on both sides of the heavy hitting match-up evenly.

According to several different casinos and betting cages, 48% of all wagers placed on this fight have been in favor of the crafty Guadalajara native, with 46% of the action favoring a Golovkin victory and a microscopic 6% anticipating a draw.

Style match-up
Because of the style match-up, many experts and fight scribes believe both fighters strengths can and will inevitably be exploited by their respective counterpart's strengths...in other words, both men are seemingly made for each other in the ring.  

Exciting affair or chess match?
Canelo vs. Triple G is expected to be a classic "matador versus bull" style pairing, where the sharp-shooting counter puncher (Alvarez) attempts to stave-off the relentless aggressor (Golovkin) throughout the scheduled twelve round fight.

But will it play out that way? 

And will this clash of elite level titans live up to its enormous critical expectation and become this decade's Corrales vs. Castillo I?  Or, as most have come to expect from high level match-ups and boxing PPV main events, will both fighters refuse to take the appropriate number of calculated risks and show too much respect for his opponent, resulting in an intriguing but not so fan-friendly chess-match?

The latter could easily be the case in this "winner take all" Middleweight showdown.

When reviewing both fighters' most recent efforts respectively, Canelo and GGG failed to show a sense of urgency in attempting to put their individual opponent away. 

Although one could argue that the two popular fighters didn't want to take any unnecessary risks against Chavez Jr. and Jacobs, potentially jeopardizing a career-high money-making opportunity, nothing fails to capture the imagination of the casual and mainstream sports fan like a less than "gutsy" effort where two "fighters" seemingly don't want to engage in a ring war.

Fans want to see more fight in their fights...especially when it comes with a price tag of $70 in high definition.

Decisions, decisions…
Even though both men have shown little to no trepidation leading into this Saturday night's spectacle, don't be surprised if this one goes to the judges' scorecards.

Because a knock-out at the elite level is very rare indeed, smart money should be placed on a Canelo points victory, straddled by a Golovkin KO. 

If the highly clamored main event does indeed reach the final bell, most are anticipating an Alvarez points decision for the obvious reasons.  Not only is the Mexican favorite going to attract the great majority of spectators during the Mexican holiday weekend to "Sin City", but he should carry the great majority of the competitive rounds in this match-up because of his explosive, eye-catching counter punching style.

So logically, many do believe that Golovkin's only chance to beat the red-headed fighter from Jalisco is by a clean and resounding knock-out.

Canelo Alvarez to win in Rounds 1-4 +1800
Canelo Alvarez to win in Rounds 5-8 +1600
Canelo Alvarez to win in Rounds 9-12 +1600
Gennady Golovkin to win in Rounds 1-4 +900
Gennady Golovkin to win in Rounds 5-8 +450
Gennady Golovkin to win in Rounds 9-12 +450
Canelo Alvarez on points +190
Gennady Golovkin on points +275
Fight Drawn +1600

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