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Canelo vs Golovkin prediction: Floyd Sr unplugged... And unreasonable?

Lee Cleveland Updated
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Never at a loss for words, ex boxer/ex trainer Floyd Mayweather Sr is at it again.

Although oddmakers slightly favor Gennady Golovkin to defeat Canelo Alvarez in their September 16 middleweight superfight, most insiders appear to be leaning towards Alvarez...

.... And, now, Floyd Sr is no exception. The key word is 'now.'

"I think Canelo wins real good and real easy," the senior Mayweather recently told On the Ropes Radio.

"I think he just needs to box, and like I said, whenever that dude ‘Triple G’ is coming in, you have to keep your hook ready because all you gotta do is jab and hook off and he will never find you, believe me."

"Don’t get in close, just keep using the jab. Jabbing to the body, jabbing back to the head, hooking off the jab. I think Canelo can do that too, he can.

So, Canelo can win "real easily?"

C'mon Floyd... Isn't "real easily" a bit far-fetched?

Moreover, a year ago the loquacious Floyd Sr picked Golovkin, disagreeing with his son, Floyd Jr, at the time.

"Honestly, I think Canelo can beat Golovkin," Floyd Jr. recently said to FightHype.com.

"But I don't think that Canelo should go up and fight Golovkin. He wants every small guy from Welterweight or 154 to move up to 160. When is Golovkin going to make the jump and go up?"

"Golovkin can punch and he'll smother you."

"That's what happened in his fight against Kell Brook, and the same thing would happen to Canelo. I think Golovkin can take shots better than Canelo too, and to be honest, I don't think Canelo wants that fight."

Why is Floyd Sr singing a different tune these days?

Answer: He probably watched Golovkin vs Jacobs.
Canelo vs GGG News
Date: September 16, 2107
Broadcast: HBO PPV (US)

Division: Middleweight
Champion: Golovkin (Consensus)
Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas


A lot of insiders are high on Canelo because Golovkin struggled against Daniel Jacobs last Spring. But insiders seem to be forgetting Canelo struggled against Austin Trout, Erislandy Lara and, of course, Floyd Mayweather Jr.

Jacobs entered his fight with Golovkin boasting a record of 32-1 with 29 KOs - Not exactly modest numbers. And keep in mind, he was the same fella who stopped Peter Quillin in the opening stanza and dispatched the extremely slippery Sergio Mora, a fighter who's capable of making any elite pugilist look bad.

Looking back, defeating Jacobs was a fine feat for Gennady Golovkin. Daniel boasted size, strength, punching power and pedigree/experience… Has Canelo has never fought anyone with all those attributes?

... But back to Floyd Sr...

To his credit, he correctly predicted Canelo would defeat Julio Cesar Chavez Sr and Amir Khan. However, Alvarez was the big favorite in those bouts.

Even prior to Golovkin vs Jacobs...

Floyd Jr told FightHype.com:

“Canelo beats Triple G easy,."

“Yeah, he beats him. He stops him. It don’t go the distance. Well, I have to tell Canelo this. Live your life. Do what makes you happy, Canelo.”

“There’s no limit to how far Canelo can go,” said Mayweather Jr. “I mean, he has a crazy fan base.”

Again, where is "easy" coming from?

As good as Golovkin is, he's underrated.

My prediction:
Look for Canelo to start fast and file up the rounds a la Sergey Kovalev in his recent fights with Andre Ward. All the while, Golovkin, as Ward with Kovalev, will be studying his foe, digging the body and slowly breaking down Canelo.

Like Ward against Kovalev, Golovkin will assert himself in the mid to later rounds, score a 10-8 round or two and win a close but unanimous decision.

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