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Charlo vs. Rosario Odds: Will we see an upset this evening?

Joseph Herron Updated
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In the main event of what should prove to be a very entertaining six-fight PPV on Showtime Sports, Jermell Charlo vs. Jeison Rosario may provide the most drama of the evening.

 
Of course, the most anticipated match-up of the night will be Jermall Charlo vs. Sergiy Derevyanchenko for the reigning champ's WBC Middleweight title.  It's also the most evenly matched.  While most expect the 160 pound title fight to also be the most entertaining and action filled, it's anyone's guess how Charlo vs. Derevyanchenko will ultimately play out.
 
The betting line on the day of the fight speaks volumes.
 
According to most Race and Sports Books, Jermall Charlo is currently listed as the slight betting favorite at (-180), while Sergiy Derevyanchenko is recorded as a very live betting underdog at (+150).  Handicap odds tell us that this scintillating  Middleweight showdown is too close to call.  
 
Unless one has money to burn, it's probably a wise move not to wager your hard-earned money on this ultra competitive match-up.
 
The slightly younger Charlo's unification contest with the unlikely current IBF/WBA Super Welterweight champion is a completely different scenario; one that may eventually resemble a one-sided mismatch, or a drama filled war.
 
On paper, Jermell Charlo vs. Jeison Rosario looks like a potentially easy day at the office for the reigning WBC titleholder.  In terms of sheer class and skill set, the 25 year old WBA/IBF champ isn't on Jermell's level.  Although the young heavy-handed fighter earned his ticket to the main event by laying the wood to former titlist Julian Williams in January, most would agree that Rosario is lacking the elite level skills required to compete regularly on the biggest stages of boxing. 
 
Heck, young Jeison's photo isn't even featured on the official fight poster.  That tells you everything you need to know about the level of respect the event organizer and Charlo's camp has shown the Dominican native heading into this pivotal bout.  
 
Despite being a legitimate unification contest at 154 pounds, the betting line is unusually wide for a fight of this nature.
 
According to most Race and Sports Books, Jermell Charlo is currently favored at a (-550), with Jeison Rosario listed as a (+350) betting underdog.
 
The betting line may indeed prove to be accurate later this evening.  But, in the theater of the unexpected, anything can and often does happen.
 
It wouldn't be the first time a highly skilled and heavily favored champion was unexpectedly stopped by a limited clubber with a set of brass and nothing to lose.
 
On the eve of Super Bowl 37, the reigning WBC Welterweight champion, Vernon Forrest, competed in a unification contest with the WBA 140 pound titlist, Ricardo Mayorga of Nicaragua.  The late great former 1996 Olympian was generally regarded as one of the sport's best P4P fighters, and was heavily favored heading into his fateful meeting with "El Matador".
 
Most Books listed Forrest as a 6 to 1 betting favorite (-600), with Mayorga labeled as a 3 1/2 to 1 betting underdog (+350).
 
Not only was the Augusta, GA, native expected to win both titles, most critics anticipated an easy points victory or a mid to late round stoppage.  Upon signing a lucrative multi-fight deal with HBO, Forrest hoped to put forth a statement making performance and make an example out of the visiting Nicaraguan fighter.  
 
Obviously, the Nicaraguan madman never received the memo and knocked out the heavily favored champion in the third round of their scheduled twelve round unification contest.  Rather than implementing a safe fight plan, in which Forrest would wisely control range from a distance, the gallant former WBC champion elected to stand in the pocket and trade with the heavy-handed underdog.
 
Will fight fans see something similar play out this evening, or did Jeison Rosario already have his "Mayorga Moment" in January against J-Rock?
 
Charlo would be foolish to toy with a big puncher like the current WBA/IBF champion.  But, like the late great Vernon Forrest, Jermell desperately wants to make a bold statement in his first stint on the PPV stage.
 
With nothing to lose and everything to gain, my gut tells me Jeison Rosario will eventually land something big in the mid to late rounds and spoil the grand plans of the Charlo Twin hydra.
 
If fight fans have spare money with which to play, don't sleep on the unlikely WBA/IBF 154 pound champion.  At almost 4 to 1 odds, lady luck may favor the bold this evening.
 
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