Golovkin vs Derevyanchenko prediction: 5 reasons GGG is ripe for the takingHot
It's never a good idea to pick against Gennady Golovkin (39-1-1, 35 KO)
Even against a top heavyweight, it would be wise to think twice about wagering against the dangerous GGG. That stated, the time could be ripe, now.
Golovkin is tentatively scheduled to face Sergiy Derevyanchenko (13-1, 10 KO) in October but don't expect another blowout. Derevyanchenko isn't Steve Rolls and GGG might not be the 'God of War' anymore.
There's not just one reason; there are several. Things could be unraveling for Golovkin before our eyes.
1. Sergiy Derevyanchenko
Don't be fooled by his record, Derevyanchenko has a strong amateur pedigree and is extremely durable in the ring. He doesn't boast blazing speed, but is far from slow. He's not incredibly powerful, but has formidable power. And his defense isn't impregnable but he's not the easiest guy to hit.
Sergiy lost a tight split decision to Danny last year, winning 114-113 on one card but losing 115-112 on the others. Jacobs scored a first-round knockdown which helped him build just enough of a lead to secure victory.
In the words of former champ Greg Haugen, Sergiy Derevyanchenko is 'no Tijuana taxi driver.'
Motivation plays a major role in any endeavor; especially boxing.
How motivated is Golovkin for this fight? After all, he had his heart set on facing Canelo. It must be very disappointing for him to be fighting Derevyanchenko instead of Alvarez. Golovkin would have ample motivation facing Canelo due to the revenge factor, Alvarez's status and the sport's most popular fighter and the fact Golovkin doesn't particularly like Canelo.
Conversely, Sergiy has wanted to fight Golovkin since 2017. He's motivated and hungry, and will be in the best shape of his career when he faces the feared GGG. Segiy has every reason to be motivated and ready, while Golovkin is entering into a tough fight with little to prove and seemingly reduced incentive. .... And if you think Derevyanchenko is the kind of a fella to get under an opponent's skin during a fight promotion, think again.
It might have been easier for Golovkin to get motivated for his most recent bout against lesser regarded Steve Rolls. It was his first time in the ring in a long while, served as his DAZN debut and was his first fight with his new trainer and promotional team... And that leads us to No. 3.
Golovkin vs Derevyanchenko
October 5, 2019 (tentative)
IBF Middleweight Title
3.Training and promotional changes
A shock to many, Golovkin recently fired longtime trainer Abel Sanchez who had guided him to a near perfect run over 10 or so years and was his biggest cheerleader and advocate. Sometimes, when a successful fighter does this it's a bad sign. Either he thinks he no longer needs tutelage or he's trying to blame someone else for his own faults.
Mike Tyson, while at his peak, fired then longtime trainer Kevin Rooney and was never the same again. And when Sugar Ray Leonard let Angelo Dundee go, the Sugarman was never the same.
Now granted, Lennox Lewis fired his longtime trainer, Pepe Correa, in favor of Emmanuel Steward and raised his game as a result; But unlike GGG, Lewis had very obvious, well-documented flaws.
Sometimes a new trainer with different philosophies can confuse a fighter. In the ring, his instinct tells him to do one thing but he's being trained to do something very different that doesn't come as naturally.
For years, Golovkin did things Abel Sanchez's way and that strategy had been very successful. Now, under Johnathon Banks, GGG, at 37, is learning something different that may not be as instinctive.
Out with the old and in with the new... Golovkin has even made sweeping changes on his promotions team. The Rolls fight was the first promoted under GGG Promotions. Tom Loeffler of K2 Promotions, formerly Golovkin's head promoter, was listed as the managing director of Gennady's newfound promotional entity and is apparently playing a much smaller role.
And The Hermann Brothers, who formerly managed Golovkin for over 10 years and take credit for assembling a strategy and first-class team of professionals for GGG, is suing Golovkin over unpaid commissions.
“This is part and parcel of GGG’s recent undoing," explains a recent statement on behalf of The Hermann Brothers released by WorldBoxingNews.net.
“We suspect that GGG’s wife, Alina, plus his accountant, Melissa Moskal,. are calling the shots for GGG. They are telling him what to do."
Has Golovkin turned into a proverbial 'bad boy?"
Perhaps his two bouts against Canelo impacted GGG's persona? Once the modest darling of the sport, GGG seems a bit brash and indignant these days.
Golovkin's last 6 fights
Won KO 4 Steve Rolls
Jun 8, 2019
Lost MD 12 Canelo Alvarez
Sep 15 2018
Won KO 2 Vanes Martirosyan
May 05 2018
Draw SD 12 Canelo Alvarez
Sep 16 2017
Won UD 12 Daniel Jacobs
Mar 18 2017
Won KO 5 Kell Brook
Sep 10 2016
Did you see him sporting the dark shades while attending Canelo vs Jacobs? And, for the first time, GGG was booed by those in attendance when he was interviewed on the big screen.
Is he angry or unsure about something these days?
5. Age / Wear and Tear
The axiom 'get old overnight' refers to aging fighters who appear to be in top form and then, in one fight, look like a shell of themselves without prior warning.
Most aging fighters, of course, decline gracefully and over time a la Muhammad Ali, Evander Holyfield and Oscar De La Hoya. But yes, fighters have been known to 'hit a brick wall' when no one saw it coming. Roy Jones Jr is a fine example.
Will Father Time catch up with the 37 year old?
Will he hit a brick wall?
Fighters with long amateur careers such as Sugar Ray Leonard, Oscar De La Hoya, Pernell Whitaker and Roy Jones, Jr, tend to slow down in their mid 30s while fellas with brief amateurs stints, like Bernard Hopkins, seem to have more in the tank at advanced ages.
Often overlooked and sometimes mistaken for advanced age is the accumulation of wear and tear on a fighter's body, which is arguably plays an even bigger role than age in a fighter's demise.
Let's not forget the 37 year old Golovkin had over 350 amateur fights.
Today, fans see the pro bouts but don't see all of the training and hard work fighters do to prepare in between fights, including the many rounds of sparring.
Now, think about all the training and sparring Golovkin did in his amateur career alone; 350 amateur fights, even if only for a maximum of three rounds, is nothing to sneeze at.
A quality, polished opponent... Motivational issues... Training and promotional changes... A potential lawsiut... The New 'Bad Boy' image.... and the many miles of wear and tear on the body.
Is Gennady Golovkin unraveling?
The time is right for Golovkin to lose, non-controversially.
Golovkin vs Derevyanchenko Prediction: Derevyanchenko UD 12 Golovkin
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