Golovkin v Szeremeta odds: The case for Kamil

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Lee Cleveland Updated
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IBF Middleweight Champion Gennady Golovkin (40-1-1, 35 KO) will likely face lightly-regarded Kamil Szeremeta (21-0, 5 KO) on June 6.

Don't hate: Szeremeta is GGG's mandatory opponent; Yet, unfortunately, some fans are accusing Golovkin of cherry-picking. In GGG's defense, he's campaigning hard for a trilogy fight against Canelo Alvarez but the Mexican star's team has been reluctant to accept thus far.

Image courtesy of Box.Live

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Complaining about Golovkin vs Szeremeta? The IBF's top 4 middleweight opponents are Szeremeta, Patrick Wojcicki, Esquiva Falcao and Patrice Volny. Take your pick!

 

Some trainers would insist this is a good fight for GGG following his war in October against Sergiy Derevyanchenko. He shouldn't have to face a threatening opponent every time he fights. Hopefully, he'll get Canelo but if not, look for possible showdowns with Charlo or Demetrius Andrade.

The above stated, Golovkin vs Szeremeta has been discussed for months but the trigger has yet to be pulled. Should it happen in the early part of 2020, though, look for GGG to be a massive favorite.

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Golovkin vs Szeremeta odds
Oddschecker has the champion as a mindblowing -4100 favorite while the Polish challenger is about a +850 underdog. So, a $4,100 winning wager on Golovkin would net just $100 while a $100 bet on Szeremeta would garner a sweet little purse of $850.

If you have a few dollars to blow and can find a bettor willing to go up to +1000, why not bet on Szeremeta? Maybe he'll cut GGG and get a lucky stoppage. Or maybe, just maybe, GGG has hit a brick wall in his career?

Motivation plays a major role in any endeavor; especially boxing. How motivated is Golovkin for this fight? After all, he's had his heart set on facing Canelo. Will we see Golovkin upset?

Deceptive? Sure, Szeremeta has only 5 KOs in 21 bouts but 3 stoppages in his last 5 fights. Has he made adjustments recently? It should be safe to assume he's a greater KO threat than the typical fighter with 5 KOs in 21 bouts.

And let's not forget, we'll being the best version Szeremeta. He understands a win over GGG would catapult his career and change his life. Moreover, Szeremeta has been busier lately, fighting 4 times from September 22, 2018 to October 5, 2019.

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Golovkin's last 7 fights... Not a cakewalk

Won UD 12 Sergiy Derevyanchenko
Oct 5, 2019

Won KO 4 Steve Rolls
Jun 8, 2019

Lost MD 12 Canelo Alvarez
Sep 15 2018

Won KO 2 Vanes Martirosyan
May 05 2018

Draw SD 12 Canelo Alvarez
Sep 16 2017

Won UD 12 Daniel Jacobs
Mar 18 2017

Won KO 5 Kell Brook
Sep 10 2016

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The case for wagering on Szeremeta (if you have a few dollars to blow)

In October, we saw Golovkin look vulnerable for the first time in his career in his narrow, somewhat controversial points win over Sergiy Derevyanchenko.

Is the great GGG slowing down?

The axiom 'get old overnight' refers to aging fighters who appear to be in top form and then, in one fight, look like a shell of themselves without prior warning.

Most aging fighters, of course, decline gracefully and over time a la Muhammad Ali, Evander Holyfield and Oscar De La Hoya. But yes, fighters have been known to 'hit a brick wall' when no one saw it coming. Roy Jones Jr is a fine example.

Are Father Time and 350+ amateur bouts catching up with the soon-to-be 38 year old?

Often overlooked and sometimes mistaken for advanced age is the accumulation of wear and tear on a fighter's body, which arguably plays an even bigger role than age in his demise.

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Golovkin (C) vs Szeremeta *Tentative*
IBF Middleweight Title
April or May 2020
DAZN
Chicago, IL or NYC?
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Today, fans see the pro bouts but don't see all of the training and hard work fighters do to prepare in between fights, including the many rounds of sparring.Now, consider all of the training and sparring Golovkin did in his amateur career alone; 350 amateur fights, even if only for a maximum of three rounds, is nothing to sneeze at.

Can a 33 year old seemingly fresh Szeremeta, who has stopped 3 of his last 5 opponents inside the distance, dethrone a boxing god with miles of wear and tear who may be on the descent?

Should Kamil, by fight time, inch up to a +1000 betting underdog some might be tempted to wager on the Pole.

 
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