Pacquiao vs Algieri prediction: Head to head

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Tonight, Saturday November 22, from the Cotai Arena at the Venetian Macao, eight division world champion Manny Pacquiao will defend his WBO Welterweight strap against the surprisingly confident 140 pound title holder, Chris Algieri, in the scheduled twelve round main event of the evening.

(Image courtesy of HBO)

"Pacquiao vs. Algieri" will be presented by Top Rank, Inc. and broadcast on HBO PPV through regional and satellite distribution, as well as streaming online accessibility.

The Home Box Office PPV coverage is slated to begin at 9PM ET/6PM PT, with a price tag of $60 in standard definition and $70 in high definition.

Since Pacquiao vs Algieri was initially announced several months ago, many fans have been unsettled concerning the quality of the match-up and its seemingly inappropriate and nonnegotiable purchasing price, which historically has been assigned to more premium match-ups and overwhelmingly demanded pairings.


But since the news recently broke regarding a genuine possibility that a Mayweather/Pacquiao super fight could finally materialize in 2015, contingent on an impressive Pacquiao performance, tonight's bout with Chris Algieri has miraculously taken on a different complexion.

For over five years, boxing fans around the globe have clamored to see a Pacquiao vs. Money May super fight. It would truly be one of boxing's most tragic ironies if a relatively unknown fighter from Huntington, New York, disrupted the bidding of the mainstream and die-hard sports fan, and pulled off the improbable upset this evening.

But that's the role in which the WBO Junior Welterweight title holder currently finds himself.

While most sports fans will go into tonight's main event, viewing the 30 year old title challenger as the mere opponent, or sacrificial lamb, Algieri has the opportunity to decide his own fate...anything can and often does happen within the theater of the unexpected.

Will the borderline confident/arrogant underdog spoil the 2015 hopes of Top Rank, Inc., Mayweather Promotions, Showtime Sports, HBO Sports, and pretty much every avid sports fan on the face of the earth? Or will Manny once again look like Manny circa 2009, and make light work of the chest beating New York native?

What's your prediction?

Let's take a look at tonight's "Tale of the Tape"!!

Pacquiao vs. Algieri - Tale of the Tape

Manny Pacquiao (56-5-2, 38 KOs) - Born in Kibawe, Bukidnon, Philippines, the 5'6 ½" southpaw possesses a 67" reach and fight altering power in both hands. Although the Pacman hasn't seen a brutal knock-out victory since 2009, the Filipino rock star still seemingly has the natural athletic gifts to stop any competing fighter in and around the Junior Welterweight limit.

Manny has tremendous coordination and speed, which is coupled with immense power in his vaunted straight left fist. Since teaming up with Hall of Fame trainer Freddie Roach in 2001, Pacquiao has grown into an elite level talent, improving his footwork, balance, and overall technical ability.

His impressive footwork serves as the foundation of his defense, as it allows him to move in and out of an opponent's range, while throwing quick combinations without getting effectively timed and countered.

The Filipino icon also has much greater versatility in the ring than most of his detractors or opponents care to acknowledge. Pacquiao possesses the ability to act as the relentless aggressor at times, and can also use the entire ring while boxing effectively.

His seldom rivaled footwork and speed allow Manny to fire off a fast attack, while consequently turning his opposition and keeping them at odd angles.

At almost 36 years of age, it's often questioned whether or not Pacquiao can still perform at the elite level and knock-out his opponents like he used to quite frequently back in 2009.


Does the future Hall of Fame, eight division world champion still have the speed, power, killer instinct, and hunger to become the Filipino destroyer once again? And will it be enough to merit a pairing with Floyd Mayweather Jr. in 2015?

Chris Algieri (20-0, 8 KOs) - Born in Huntington, New York, the athletic boxer fights out of an orthodox stance and stands 5'10" with a 72" reach. The undefeated pugilist's ring intelligence, coupled with unusual physical advantages for a Junior Welterweight fighter, customarily allows him to proficiently dictate the pace of each of his outings.

Algieri possesses the hand speed, reflexes, and footwork to sporadically move in and out of range while firing off quick jabs and occasional right hands to the body and hand without getting countered often by his more aggressive minded opposition.

Because the 30 year old fighter doesn't depend on being flat footed to let his hands go, Chris usually wins his fights using a very high punch output and connect percentage, while using the entire ring proficiently, turning his opponents, and boxing them at angles.

Although the technically proficient fighter doesn't possess world class power, his greatest attributes in the ring seem to be his physical and mental durability. Algieri is always in superb condition going into each and every prizefight, which allows him to repair quickly when taking any damage from a harder punching opponent.

The Empire State resident is a very smart fighter and has shown the ability to make effective adjustments throughout each fight to offset his opponent's strengths and exploit their individual weaknesses.

His high level of confidence makes him very relaxed in the ring, which consequently helps him work through adversity while sticking to his fight strategy.


But Chris Algieri's confidence, determination, and conditioning will have to be at maximum strength to defeat an extremely motivated Manny Pacquiao tonight and pick up the most impressive win on his resume.

Pacquiao vs Algieri Keys to Victory

Manny Pacquiao - To win this bout and put himself in line for a 2015 showdown with Floyd Mayweather Jr., Manny has to use his superior footwork and speed to limit the movement of Chris Algieri, ultimately forcing him to stand and fight. This will start by positioning his lead leg outside of Chris' lead leg, limiting his ability to pivot around and out of harm's way.

Once he limits Algieri's movement with intelligent pressure, Manny must use all of the weapons in his arsenal to shake his challenger's confidence and ultimately break his will. With the overwhelming power and speed advantage, Pacquiao must fire off quick combinations to the body and head from different angles.

If the future Hall of Famer can limit Algieri's movement with his footwork and positioning, while working consistently to throughout each round, Manny Pacquiao could get a long overdue stoppage victory against a very athletic and mentally durable fighter.


Chris Algieri - To pull off the massive upset this evening, Chris has to mix strategies and keep Manny Pacquiao off balance throughout the entire contest. Trainer Freddie Roach has already stated that their primary fight plan is to be aggressive early and stop the underwhelming challenger before he has a chance to get his eyes adjusted to the timing and rhythm of the Pacman.

Chris absolutely has to set traps for Manny around the ring and hurt him with counters as he's trying to work his way inside. Algieri also has to sporadically take the lead to keep Manny off balance, ultimately making him question his own fight strategy. This will require Algieri to use lateral movement, while mixing a healthy dose of feints, touch jabs and snapping left hands as Manny tries to maneuver himself into firing range.

If the tall, rangy fighter can use his jab to maintain distance without foolishly staying on the ropes or giving away his four inch height advantage, he could successfully control the pace of the fight, while outworking the Pacman and pulling off the improbable victory.


Pacquiao vs Algieri Prediction

Although I think Chris Algieri has the mental and physical attributes to make this crucial bout somewhat competitive, I truly believe that his team's unrealistic confidence have caused them to assess this match-up incorrectly. I don't believe Algieri can match the speed, reflexes, and power of the Pacman.

Manny Pacquiao will cut off the ring with discipline, then close the distance effectively, and punish his challenger with regularity as early as the first stanza. I believe Pacquiao will be effective in landing power shots and hurting his opponent before he has the opportunity to get adjusted to his timing and rhythm.

Checkmate.
Prediction: Manny Pacquiao TKO 2 over Chris Algieri

Boxing Schedule - Nov 22 | Pacquiao vs Algieri undercard
 
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