Canelo vs Rocky predictions, oddsWritten by Leroy Cleveland
Tonight, middleweight champion Canelo Alvarez faces top 10 super middleweight and fringe belt holder Rocky Fielding in a bout contested in the latter's weight class.
Hailing from Liverpool, Merseyside, United Kingdom, the 31 year old Fielding won the WBA 'Regular' Super Middleweight title in July by KOing Tyron Zeuge (then 22-0-1).
But, according to Canelo vs Rocky predictions from the boxing world, few give him a chance to defeat Alvarez despite his rather large height and reach advantages.
Are we underestimating the Brit?
Having suffered a second round defeated to Rocky in 2015, veteran Bryan Vera said of the upcoming Canelo vs Rocky bout:
"Fielding is no joke. He is well conditioned and he hits hard. I was surprised Canelo took the fight."
But not everyone is convinced Rocky poses a threat to Canelo....
Canelo vs Rocky betting odds by Betfair
Rocky to win: 8/1
Canelo to win: 1/12
Method of victory
Rocky to win by decision/technical decision: 33/1
Rocky to win by KO/TKO: 10/1
Canelo to win by decision/technical decision: 7/2
Canelo to win by KO/TKO: 3/10
David Lemieux - Prediction from middleweight contender, potentially Canelo's next opponent
“I not worried about no payday,” middleweight contender David Lemieux (40-4, 34 KOs) told BoxingScene.com. “I’m gonna get my paydays, Canelo or not. But I don’t think Fielding is dangerous for Canelo. He’s not a big puncher and if Canelo connects, it won’t last.”
In 2015, Rocky lost by a first round TKO to Callum Smith, the current real and legitimate WBA Super Middleweight Champion.
Amir Khan - Prediction from former world champion, previous Canelo opponent
"I like Rocky, he's a brilliant guy but I've been in with Canelo and I just can't give Rocky a chance," said Khan to Sky Sports.
"Canelo is a beast. The way he beat Triple G, I just think no-one can stop him. Even if Mayweather came back and took a rematch with him, I think he would beat Mayweather.
"Canelo has matured as a fighter and is a better fighter than when I fought him. He is a great fighter now. I am a mobile fighter so it obviously suited me but eventually he found his range and caught me with a good shot."
"He might not do the same up at super middleweight and I hope Rocky can do it, I really do, but I just can't see how."
Brian Campbell, Prediction from CBS Sports boxing sage
"Fielding enters with dramatic advantages in terms of height and reach. Sadly, however, that's largely where his advantages end," Campbell said via his post on CBS Sports.
"Along with not being considered a big puncher for the weight class, Fielding's biggest issue opposite Alvarez will likely be hand speed and his plodding nature. Alvarez, already considered by some to be a small middleweight, should have the quickness to box circles around him while avoiding the jab and setting up counter shots."
"Look for Alvarez to slowly break Fielding down, particularly to the body. Eventually that will lower Fielding's guard and set Alvarez up for a late stoppage."
Lee Cleveland, FightSaga
How safe is Fielding?
Well, did you expect Team Canelo to face another top guy a mere 3 months after its man defeated Gennady Golovkin? Alvarez deserves this opportunity. A fighter's team should never put its man in the ring with the best possible opponent every single time. Doing so would be tantamount to running him into the ground.
Obviously, Team Alvarez wouldn't have picked Rocky if they didn't see flaws they believe Canelo can expose. Yes, Fielding boasts a 4 or 5 inch height advantage over Canelo and a considerable reach advantage but doesn't have the tools to outpoint, outbrawl or KO the Mexican.
However, this bout will be more difficult for Canelo than most think. Rocky is not only a much bigger fighter, he boasts formidable skills and is hungry. Moreover, Alvarez won't be facing the same version of the guy who was KO'd in one round by Callum Smith three years ago.
Tonight's version of Fielding will be the best we've seen so don't be surprised if we don't see a highlight reel knockout in an ultimate showcase.
Rocky will be in top form and his height and solid boxing skills will help prepare Canelo for the giants (in terms of physical stature) of the middleweight division. I'm referring to Daniel Jacobs, Billy Joe Saunders and Jermall Charlo. All are well-skilled, have good movement and are very rangy
Given Canelo can no longer fight comfortably at 154 lbs, there's certainly some concern among Canelo's handlers about how their man, at 5'8", will match up against elite-level, long-armed middleweights with hit-and-move styles who'll look to use their reach advantage to outwork Alvarez from a distance.
Tonight, look for Canelo to fight in bursts and unleash hard, eye-catching combos that will to carry him to a comfortable decision in a competitive, often-explosive bout that will serve as a litmus test of sorts for how Canelo will handle a much taller, rangier foe.
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